what does that tell you in an election that is expected to be by all accounts, razor tight. >> reporter: if you look at the way romney is doing with republicans, one of the things that we were hearing about romney was that he'd have trouble uniting his party because he was seen as insufficiently conservative by many in the base. he's up to 91% support among republicans. so he's doing very well with his base, and if you add the independents in you normally have an effective majority, and i think that is the simplest and easiest way to think about this election. you can do other analyses, bill, where you factor the hispanic vote and other ethic minority votes and so on and you come up with another way of looking at it. but i think if you win your base strongly, republicans, you win your party, and you win the independents you almost always within the election. bill: that goes to voter enthusiasm and turn out, the number of people who are actually going to do what they say they will do, when they are likely voter and that is cast a ballot. here is another thing on the economy. who does a b